November 5, 2020


I remember last year how so many pass catchers were riding high before Halloween. They must have had too much candy corn, because many slowed down as the weather got decidedly cooler and played a factor on the field.

Julio Jones will have very little competition in a week where the Falcons host a Denver defense that has been giving up points in the air.

As mentioned in the QB article, Mother Nature is smiling on us this week. And the schedule makers also gave us a slew of dome games. Our START OF THE WEEK is the poster child for great expectations this week.


Julio Jones vs. DEN
Calvin Ridley is likely to miss the game with a foot sprain. Denver’s top DB A.J. Bouye has already been ruled out. Jones will be 7-11 – open 24/7. The Broncos will score plenty also, and they can stop the run. But they’re in the middle against the pass, so look for Matt Ryan to throw a ton, and most of it to Jones. 

Jerry Jeudy @ ATL
Those 10 targets that Jeudy got last week should be the sign of things to come. Tim Patrick is expected to suit up, but coming off a hamstring injury that could mean he doesn’t get a full workload. Against the Falcons’ D that is #28 against WRs in FPPG, there will be tons of balls in the air for both sides. Look for Jeudy to at least match the target count he got last week.

Tyler Lockett @ BUF
Lockett appears to have the best matchup on the day, as the Bills have been getting burned in the slot. PFF lists him as having a 29% advantage over CB Taron Johnson. Aside from the 200-yard, 3-TD game in Week 8, Lockett has been held to 44 yards or less in 3 of 4 games. The Buffalo D has been leaky against the pass, so Lockett should beat it a few times.

Marvin Jones @ MIN
Kenny Golladay has already been ruled out, so look for a bulk of his targets to be redirected to Jones. In the past 2 weeks, Jones has received 13 targets, and the Vikings continue to get torched in the passing game. They are #31 against WRs in FPPG, and Matthew Stafford is expected to start after sitting out the week of practice on the COVID IR.

Diontae Johnson @ DAL
Look past the 3 targets Johnson received last week. He was in and out of the game with an injury. Remember the 15 targets that Johnson got the week before, when Chase Claypool and JuJu Smith-Schuster were both active. The Cowboys are plain awful against the pass (#29 vs WR), making Johnson’s $5000 price look like a steal.


DJ Moore @ KC
In the rain and wind last week against the Falcons, Moore did not record a reception until the closing minutes of the 4th quarter. Now he’s likely to draw coverage against Brashaud Breeland, who is #21 in PFF grades among DBs. The KC secondary has played really well this season, so Moore will have it tough.

Amari Cooper vs. PIT
This could apply to all Cowboy WRs. This has less to do with the fact that Pittsburgh’s pass defense (#23 against WRs) has been below average. It has more to do with the Steeler pass rush being one of the best, and the Cowboy O-line hurting. Sub QB Garrett Gilbert will have little time to throw the ball, obviously hurting the production of his pass catchers. 


Noah Fant @ ATL
The Falcons are actually worse against opposing TEs (#32 in FPPG) than against WRs, and Fant is finally looking recovered from that ankle injury from earlier this season. He’s received 32 targets in his past 4 games. Fant will get plenty of looks, and could be a DFS play for people looking for a bargain ($4600).

Eric Ebron @ DAL
With all the attention being paid to the wideouts in Pittsburgh, Ebron has quietly gotten 5-8 targets a game in 5 games this season. The Cowboys aren’t stopping TEs either (#19 in FPPG). Ebron is an underrated play for targets that could result in a TD.


Logan Thomas vs NYG
Looking for a TE flyer because you don’t have one of the top TEs? Thomas is not the TE you’re looking for this week. LB Blake Martinez has been doing a good job on TEs, and Washington may concentrate on running the ball against a Giant D that is in the bottom half of run defenses.

1Davante Adams (GB – WR)at SF
2Julio Jones (ATL – WR)vs. DEN
3Stefon Diggs (BUF – WR)vs. SEA
4D.K. Metcalf (SEA – WR)at BUF
5DeAndre Hopkins (ARI – WR)vs. MIA
6Tyler Lockett (SEA – WR)at BUF
7Keenan Allen (LAC – WR)vs. LV
8Tyreek Hill (KC – WR)vs. CAR
9Terry McLaurin (WAS – WR)vs. NYG
10Adam Thielen (MIN – WR)vs. DET
11Allen Robinson II (CHI – WR)at TEN
12Will Fuller V (HOU – WR)at JAC
13A.J. Brown (TEN – WR)vs. CHI
14Michael Thomas (NO – WR)at TB
15Chase Claypool (PIT – WR)at DAL
16Robby Anderson (CAR – WR)at KC
17Justin Jefferson (MIN – WR)vs. DET
18Brandin Cooks (HOU – WR)at JAC
19Diontae Johnson (PIT – WR)at DAL
20Antonio Brown (TB – WR)vs. NO
21Mike Evans (TB – WR)vs. NO
22Marquise Brown (BAL – WR)at IND
23JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT – WR)at DAL
24D.J. Moore (CAR – WR)at KC
25Mike Williams (LAC – WR)vs. LV
26Jerry Jeudy (DEN – WR)at ATL
27Marvin Jones Jr. (DET – WR)at MIN
28Amari Cooper (DAL – WR)vs. PIT
29D.J. Chark Jr. (JAC – WR)vs. HOU
30DeVante Parker (MIA – WR)at ARI
31Darius Slayton (NYG – WR)at WAS
32Cole Beasley (BUF – WR)vs. SEA
33Henry Ruggs III (LV – WR)at LAC
34Christian Kirk (ARI – WR)vs. MIA
35Sterling Shepard (NYG – WR)at WAS
36Corey Davis (TEN – WR)vs. CHI
37Mecole Hardman (KC – WR)vs. CAR
38Darnell Mooney (CHI – WR)at TEN
39CeeDee Lamb (DAL – WR)vs. PIT
40Chris Godwin (TB – WR)vs. NO
41Curtis Samuel (CAR – WR)at KC
42Laviska Shenault Jr. (JAC – WR)vs. HOU
43Michael Gallup (DAL – WR)vs. PIT
44Jakobi Meyers (NE – WR)at NYJ
45Russell Gage (ATL – WR)vs. DEN
46Scotty Miller (TB – WR)vs. NO
47Nelson Agholor (LV – WR)at LAC
48Preston Williams (MIA – WR)at ARI
49Keelan Cole Sr. (JAC – WR)vs. HOU
50Denzel Mims (NYJ – WR)vs. NE
51Tim Patrick (DEN – WR)at ATL
52Golden Tate (NYG – WR)at WAS
53Randall Cobb (HOU – WR)at JAC
54Anthony Miller (CHI – WR)at TEN
55Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB – WR)at SF
56Demarcus Robinson (KC – WR)vs. CAR
57KJ Hamler (DEN – WR)at ATL
58Zach Pascal (IND – WR)vs. BAL
59Marcus Johnson (IND – WR)vs. BAL
60John Brown (BUF – WR)vs. SEA
1Travis Kelce (KC – TE)vs. CAR
2Darren Waller (LV – TE)at LAC
3Noah Fant (DEN – TE)at ATL
4T.J. Hockenson (DET – TE)at MIN
5Rob Gronkowski (TB – TE)vs. NO
6Mark Andrews (BAL – TE)at IND
7Hayden Hurst (ATL – TE)vs. DEN
8Hunter Henry (LAC – TE)vs. LV
9Jonnu Smith (TEN – TE)vs. CHI
10Jared Cook (NO – TE)at TB
11Jimmy Graham (CHI – TE)at TEN
12Evan Engram (NYG – TE)at WAS
13Trey Burton (IND – TE)vs. BAL
14Robert Tonyan (GB – TE)at SF
15Eric Ebron (PIT – TE)at DAL
16Jordan Akins (HOU – TE)at JAC
17Mike Gesicki (MIA – TE)at ARI
18Logan Thomas (WAS – TE)vs. NYG
19Albert Okwuegbunam (DEN – TE)at ATL
20Irv Smith Jr. (MIN – TE)vs. DET
21Greg Olsen (SEA – TE)at BUF
22Jordan Reed (SF – TE)vs. GB
23Ross Dwelley (SF – TE)vs. GB
24Darren Fells (HOU – TE)at JAC
25Dalton Schultz (DAL – TE)vs. PIT
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