I remember Jim Kelly in the 80s and 90s would talk about the wind whipping in Buffalo’s home stadium. It was called “the Hawk,” and it slowed down many passes by some of the best QBs of the era.
I was thinking of that because it’s now November, and we’ve already seen weather impact games. Snow doesn’t seem to be as bad for football as rain and wind. This weekend, there could be plenty of the latter two weather patterns. That’s important for the passing game, which is why I’m leaving out Baker Mayfield and Derek Carr pitching it around in what under normal weather conditions has the makings of a shootout in Cleveland. However, the weather outside will be plenty frightful at the Dawg Pound.
The games that could have weather impact passers besides Cleveland are in Green Bay, Cincinnati, Baltimore and Chicago. It’s time to check the weather app on your phone or cue up Jim Cantore’s Twitter feed. Yes, another thing to check on Sunday morning, but it’ll be worth it. Here we go with the Adentro/Afuera QBs.
DFS BIG PLAY OF THE WEEK
Aaron Rodgers vs. MIN
Rodgers has at least 3 TDs in 4 games thus far, and one of those games was the opener against the Vikings where he announced his presence with authority that he was going to again be a force in the NFL and fantasy this season. The Vikings are #26 against the QB in FPPG, and don’t appear to get getting better against the position. Wind could play a part, but it would have to be in the 35-MPH range that it was in Tampa Bay a couple weeks ago. That’s the only way to slow down Rodgers’ fastball. He’ll earn his $7600 on Draft Kings.
START OF THE WEEK
Carson Wentz vs. DAL
I almost feel sorry for picking on Dallas so much this season. Then I remember how Roger Staubach tortured my beloved Rams growing up, and all sorry goes out the window. Wentz’s supporting cast has been so banged up this year, we forget that Wentz has bobbed and weaved his way to 33 and 31 points the past two weeks respectively. The 5 rushing TDs help boost Wentz’s production. He’s getting Dallas Goedert and Jalen Reagor back this week. The Cowboys are letting opposing offenses do whatever they want, and Wentz is going to take advantage on his home turf.
Justin Herbert @ DEN
The NFL is supposed to eat up rookie QBs. Herbert has made it look easy, when we all know that it’s not. He’ll continue to make it look easy for at least another week, this time in the Mile High City. Herbert is the QB4 averaging 25.8 FPPG, and he now has 5 games under his belt to make this a sizable sample size. He also has at least 3 TDs in each of the past 3 games. Denver is great against the run, middle-of-the-pack against the pass. Herbert will have himself a day.
DFS BARGAIN PLAY OF THE WEEK
Jimmy Garoppolo @ SEA
You know that old Mike Tyson quote, “Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.” That is going to apply to the 49er pass defense this week, when they face far and away the best QB of the season in Russell Wilson. That will mean that Jimmy G will have to pass to keep up, and the Seahawks are averaging more than 300 passing yards allowed per game. George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk are good stacks to help Jimmy G earn the $5400, which is the same as Andy Dalton.
SIT OF THE WEEK / SIENTALO
Matthew Stafford vs. IND
Stafford was supposed to break out against the Falcons last week, and instead he needed a walk-off TD pass for his only score on a day where he threw for 340 yards. Something is off with Stafford, as his yards per attempt are just 7.7, down almost a full yard from the 8.6 he averaged last year. He’s had Kenny Golladay back for a few weeks, so it’s not that his top target is missing. Add in that the Colts are the top-ranked defense against the pass, with only 1198 yards allowed through 6 games.
Ben Roethlisberger @ BAL
The Ravens got better on the defensive line with the acquisition of Yannick Ngakoue, which will mean that Big Ben is going to have to keep getting the ball out to his receivers plenty quickly. Big Ben has been good, not great, thus far. He’s only surpassed 300 yards once, and his 241 yards per game is 23rd in the league. The Baltimore D is legit, #7 with only 1385 yards allowed in 6 games. These are often hard-hitting affairs, with not a lot of offense.
|QB WEEK 8|
|1||Patrick Mahomes II (KC – QB)||vs. NYJ|
|2||Aaron Rodgers (GB – QB)||vs. MIN|
|3||Russell Wilson (SEA – QB)||vs. SF|
|4||Ryan Tannehill (TEN – QB)||at CIN|
|5||Carson Wentz (PHI – QB)||vs. DAL|
|6||Tom Brady (TB – QB)||at NYG|
|7||Lamar Jackson (BAL – QB)||vs. PIT|
|8||Justin Herbert (LAC – QB)||at DEN|
|9||Josh Allen (BUF – QB)||vs. NE|
|10||Matt Ryan (ATL – QB)||at CAR|
|11||Joe Burrow (CIN – QB)||vs. TEN|
|12||Teddy Bridgewater (CAR – QB)||vs. ATL|
|13||Jared Goff (LAR – QB)||at MIA|
|14||Matthew Stafford (DET – QB)||vs. IND|
|15||Cam Newton (NE – QB)||at BUF|
|16||Ben Roethlisberger (PIT – QB)||at BAL|
|17||Derek Carr (LV – QB)||at CLE|
|18||Baker Mayfield (CLE – QB)||vs. LV|
|19||Drew Brees (NO – QB)||at CHI|
|20||Kirk Cousins (MIN – QB)||at GB|
|21||Philip Rivers (IND – QB)||at DET|
|22||Jimmy Garoppolo (SF – QB)||at SEA|
|23||Tua Tagovailoa (MIA – QB)||vs. LAR|
|24||Nick Foles (CHI – QB)||vs. NO|
|25||Daniel Jones (NYG – QB)||vs. TB|
|26||Drew Lock (DEN – QB)||vs. LAC|
|27||Andy Dalton (DAL – QB)||at PHI|
|28||Sam Darnold (NYJ – QB)||at KC|